Prediction-market trader

Untimely-Fresco @untimelyfresco

Independent prediction-market trader. 1,668 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-02-19 (241 days), 229 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months +165.3% · 1 year n/a · all +167.3%
  • Max drawdown -4.3% · Sharpe 13.29 · win rate 12% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-4567B275EN · 19.3% · long
  • PM-7AD403C35N · 16.9% · long
  • PM-7C0B6291BY · 4.5% · long
  • PM-7AD403C35Y · 4.3% · long
  • PM-0A2F29B0FN · 4.3% · long
  • PM-2579C53C3Y · 3.5% · long
  • PM-0502ABF4FY · 3.4% · long
  • PM-46CA741DAY · 3.3% · long
  • PM-02A2888EFN · 3.1% · long
  • PM-694595D0AY · 2.3% · long
  • PM-4CA774168Y · 2.2% · long
  • PM-18B1C135DY · 2.2% · long

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