Prediction-market trader

Trivial-Steel @trivialsteel

Independent prediction-market trader. 897 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-06-05 (135 days), 198 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +51.6%
  • Max drawdown -21.5% · Sharpe 3.40 · win rate 15% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-7205CEB58Y · 5.4% · long
  • PM-AD8FBF169Y · 3.7% · long
  • PM-57D95B836Y · 3.3% · long
  • PM-B7B4326E3Y · 2.7% · long
  • PM-7D7BC0B29N · 2.6% · long
  • PM-E9D2673B8Y · 2.4% · long
  • PM-8BCBC3954N · 2.3% · long
  • PM-E4C7B1F2DY · 2.3% · long
  • PM-426E80109N · 2.3% · long
  • PM-C20BD1895N · 2.3% · long
  • PM-E25A7F997N · 2.0% · long
  • PM-48FCBF6BBN · 1.9% · long

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