Prediction-market trader

Trivial-Idea @trivialidea

Independent prediction-market trader. 2,702 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2024-11-28 (649 days), 88 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +5.5% · month -7.8% · 90 days +41.8% · 6 months +61.8% · 1 year +80.3% · all +73.0%
  • Max drawdown -28.7% · Sharpe 0.74 · win rate 2% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-B106A3C9DY · 11.5% · long
  • PM-9B9C69302Y · 6.2% · long
  • PM-7BBE43E17N · 4.0% · long
  • PM-80B3AF88CY · 3.3% · long
  • PM-82F1C3766Y · 3.2% · long
  • PM-15DDBA100Y · 3.1% · long
  • PM-2AD7F15BFN · 3.0% · long
  • PM-6189539FFN · 3.0% · long
  • PM-D8A584355N · 3.0% · long
  • PM-A7BAD2EC8N · 3.0% · long
  • PM-A4DDC1889N · 3.0% · long
  • PM-8BDEAC60CN · 2.9% · long

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