Prediction-market trader

Strange-Mandolin @strangemandolin

Independent prediction-market trader. 7,934 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-12-11 (267 days), 71 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +2.6% · month +28.9% · 90 days +25.5% · 6 months +95.3% · 1 year n/a · all +126.1%
  • Max drawdown -21.5% · Sharpe 2.09 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-C554D7197Y · 57.1% · long
  • PM-64B22B886Y · 40.5% · long
  • PM-E015CD19DY · 1.6% · long
  • PM-DFFBDE986Y · 0.4% · long
  • PM-AE5748671Y · 0.4% · long

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