Stale-Cashew

Prediction-market trader · @stalecashew
+127.9%
All time
S&P +16.1%

Prediction-market trader

Stale-Cashew @stalecashew

Independent prediction-market trader. 45,630 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-12-17 (320 days), 3392 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months +34.3% · 1 year n/a · all +127.9%
  • Max drawdown -40.0% · Sharpe 1.84 · win rate 8% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-633777AB6N · 5.0% · long
  • PM-46CA741DAN · 3.5% · long
  • PM-62E28DF3EY · 2.2% · long
  • PM-A0CEAC2AFY · 1.4% · long
  • PM-7196CBCD0N · 1.4% · long
  • PM-CE8095DC4Y · 1.4% · long
  • PM-E1535AC93N · 1.4% · long
  • PM-9D58FEFC0Y · 1.4% · long
  • PM-F43533AF0N · 1.2% · long
  • PM-56A5EADE7N · 1.2% · long
  • PM-AA171F20EN · 1.1% · long
  • PM-BFDE85673N · 1.1% · long

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