Prediction-market trader

Splendid-Collectivization @splendidcollectivization

Independent prediction-market trader. 96 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-05-10 (121 days), 120 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +7.2% · month +46.4% · 90 days +48.6% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +84.6%
  • Max drawdown -22.9% · Sharpe 5.32 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-18B1C135DY · 48.7% · long
  • PM-18B1C135DN · 46.4% · long
  • PM-D53B005C2N · 4.9% · long
  • PM-EA25A2DBEY · 0.0% · long · since 2026-09-20
  • PM-45E64F0F3N · 0.0% · long · since 2026-09-20
  • PM-09C564866N · 0.0% · long · since 2026-09-20
  • PM-09C564866Y · 0.0% · long · since 2026-09-20
  • PM-B3AE46216Y · 0.0% · long · since 2026-09-20
  • PM-62BA81B72N · 0.0% · long · since 2026-09-26

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