Prediction-market trader

Somber-Ice @somberice

Independent prediction-market trader. 280 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-05-12 (115 days), 169 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +2.6% · month +10.2% · 90 days +74.7% · 6 months — · 1 year — · all +45.9%
  • Max drawdown -48.1% · Sharpe 0.86 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-0D9D760FFN · 30.3% · long
  • PM-842334839Y · 7.5% · long
  • PM-DDED1086EY · 7.4% · long
  • PM-44035EBD9Y · 4.8% · long
  • PM-858B982B9Y · 4.4% · long
  • PM-E96DBACEBN · 4.0% · long
  • PM-ECBDF222AY · 3.9% · long
  • PM-F232B5659Y · 3.6% · long
  • PM-02511A44DY · 3.5% · long
  • PM-E02DADD92Y · 3.2% · long
  • PM-E8E7D582AY · 2.7% · long
  • PM-4567B275EY · 2.4% · long

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