Prediction-market trader

Smug-Snowman @smugsnowman

Independent prediction-market trader. 10,948 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2024-11-28 (645 days), 40 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +6.1% · month +15.9% · 90 days -16.8% · 6 months +10.7% · 1 year +24.3% · all +1.6%
  • Max drawdown -67.2% · Sharpe -0.06 · win rate 9% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-12DC2B617Y · 3.0% · long
  • PM-51D2B6EECN · 2.1% · long
  • PM-36668E37BY · 2.0% · long
  • PM-B8BF4F3DCY · 2.0% · long
  • PM-68E72D413N · 1.8% · long
  • PM-416221D74Y · 1.8% · long
  • PM-06666ECE9Y · 1.7% · long
  • PM-B923FE3F0Y · 1.7% · long
  • PM-BD9276766N · 1.6% · long
  • PM-DF0AB07EDY · 1.6% · long
  • PM-298B73B51N · 1.4% · long
  • PM-913581DC6N · 1.3% · long

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