Prediction-market trader

Rural-Wharf-Parable @ruralwharfparable

Independent prediction-market trader. 70,546 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2026-05-23 (105 days), 345 trades recorded
• Returns: week +5.7% · month +54.6% · 90 days +167.6% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +166.0%
• Max drawdown -3.1% · Sharpe 49.15 · win rate 33% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-E38D730FCY · 21.5% · long
• PM-3E73F1C2CN · 12.9% · long
• PM-4FB034002N · 12.2% · long
• PM-D8C0B689DN · 11.5% · long
• PM-D0AC7483BN · 9.9% · long
• PM-769FF6B3CY · 8.8% · long
• PM-3722F9CCCY · 6.5% · long
• PM-E38D730FCN · 5.8% · long
• PM-4FB034002Y · 5.6% · long
• PM-DE7D6BF4EN · 1.9% · long
• PM-D25C1842CY · 1.8% · long
• PM-61E715D74N · 1.2% · long

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