Probable-Semicircle
Prediction-market trader · @probablesemicircle
+106.0%
All time
S&P +28.1%
Prediction-market trader
Probable-Semicircle @probablesemicircle
Independent prediction-market trader. 1,372 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2024-11-28 (704 days), 486 trades recorded
- Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days +17.0% · 6 months +53.2% · 1 year +97.6% · all +106.0%
- Max drawdown -32.3% · Sharpe 0.95 · data quality High
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-86BFB53AFN · 20.0% · long
- PM-48B0B0BCAN · 19.9% · long
- PM-22492AB0DN · 18.0% · long
- PM-650E3EBC0N · 7.0% · long
- PM-34918035AN · 5.2% · long
- PM-46C862237Y · 4.0% · long
- PM-66BBF6D55N · 3.3% · long
- PM-515822999Y · 2.8% · long
- PM-2C00CB097Y · 2.8% · long
- PM-409D7E08BY · 2.2% · long
- PM-94521176FY · 2.1% · long
- PM-F465504C3Y · 1.9% · long