Prediction-market trader
Probable-Semicircle @probablesemicircle
Independent prediction-market trader. 1,233 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2024-11-28 (664 days), 73 trades recorded
- Returns: week +0.1% · month +4.2% · 90 days +28.2% · 6 months +33.7% · 1 year +100.2% · all +109.2%
- Max drawdown -31.2% · Sharpe 1.05 · data quality High
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-48B0B0BCAN · 44.3% · long
- PM-D5D9FC477Y · 25.0% · long
- PM-38A1025BFN · 9.8% · long
- PM-D50C01659Y · 5.3% · long
- PM-409D7E08BY · 4.8% · long
- PM-3FD189CACY · 3.8% · long
- PM-D59F25520N · 3.1% · long
- PM-129DBCB7DY · 2.3% · long
- PM-E430A0050N · 1.0% · long
- PM-1C017CBB3N · 0.6% · long