Prediction-market trader

Pesky-Cranberry @peskycranberry

Independent prediction-market trader. 387 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-11-09 (303 days), 40 trades recorded
  • Returns: week -0.7% · month +3.8% · 90 days +13.2% · 6 months +23.3% · 1 year n/a · all +27.6%
  • Max drawdown -12.1% · Sharpe 0.72 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-D12E33A12N · 6.5% · long
  • PM-3FF9124B8N · 5.4% · long
  • PM-0A7E49C53N · 4.8% · long
  • PM-1B2942749N · 4.7% · long
  • PM-0C9ADA12CY · 4.2% · long
  • PM-4921CF738N · 4.1% · long
  • PM-4889F2333N · 4.1% · long
  • PM-699D6EA54Y · 4.1% · long
  • PM-64DE3843FN · 3.8% · long
  • PM-06B066958N · 3.7% · long
  • PM-DBE93B5A7Y · 3.0% · long
  • PM-C15A7548EN · 2.8% · long

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