Prediction-market trader

Ornery-Hello @orneryhello

Independent prediction-market trader. 6,944 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-04-01 (168 days), 79 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +2.8% · month +28.5% · 90 days +16.6% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +125.1%
  • Max drawdown -28.2% · Sharpe 3.19 · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-18B1C135DY · 49.8% · long
  • PM-18B1C135DN · 47.4% · long
  • PM-14D327328Y · 0.5% · long
  • PM-14D327328N · 0.4% · long
  • PM-1D0CC72A8Y · 0.2% · long
  • PM-ABC341CC5Y · 0.1% · long
  • PM-56AEE94BDN · 0.1% · long
  • PM-2E4B58FC1Y · 0.1% · long
  • PM-56AEE94BDY · 0.1% · long
  • PM-30F729EF1Y · 0.1% · long
  • PM-D0590FB2DY · 0.1% · long
  • PM-96A641513Y · 0.1% · long

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