Prediction-market trader
Only-Thermometer @onlythermometer
Independent prediction-market trader. 16,417 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2026-05-23 (123 days), 1006 trades recorded
- Returns: week +4.4% · month +37.4% · 90 days +87.6% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +82.8%
- Max drawdown -26.7% · Sharpe 5.41 · data quality Good
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-30174F3F4N · 1.0% · long
- PM-1E6D55949N · 0.9% · long
- PM-D7E906EAEY · 0.9% · long
- PM-718E175D4Y · 0.9% · long
- PM-61D9486C0N · 0.9% · long
- PM-5C881188AN · 0.9% · long
- PM-15956234AN · 0.9% · long
- PM-7FF9F8E25Y · 0.9% · long
- PM-E340267DAN · 0.9% · long
- PM-FFA6A98CFN · 0.9% · long
- PM-306969AE5N · 0.9% · long
- PM-7846774D5N · 0.9% · long