Only-Thermometer
Prediction-market trader · @onlythermometer
+88.4%
All time
S&P +3.6%
Prediction-market trader
Only-Thermometer @onlythermometer
Independent prediction-market trader. 19,123 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2026-05-23 (163 days), 672 trades recorded
- Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days +97.5% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +88.4%
- Max drawdown -24.9% · Sharpe 4.97 · data quality Good
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-3B8FFE267Y · 1.1% · long
- PM-FA036BB86N · 1.1% · long
- PM-61D9486C0N · 1.1% · long
- PM-E117FAF93Y · 1.1% · long
- PM-95FEDDFB4Y · 1.1% · long
- PM-8E146CB15N · 1.1% · long
- PM-8E76426C8N · 1.0% · long
- PM-BC6A179C0N · 1.0% · long
- PM-15956234AN · 1.0% · long
- PM-D65DF08F1N · 1.0% · long
- PM-26ED26FD5N · 1.0% · long
- PM-E97152561N · 1.0% · long