Prediction-market trader

Nervous-Formula @nervousformula

Independent prediction-market trader. 8,632 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-02-07 (253 days), 404 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months +143.2% · 1 year n/a · all +133.8%
  • Max drawdown -27.7% · Sharpe 3.33 · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-67F3F8D0AY · 27.6% · long
  • PM-FDC73F10EN · 14.8% · long
  • PM-B6F3AD0C1N · 11.2% · long
  • PM-986578C26Y · 9.9% · long
  • PM-848AB9B01N · 4.8% · long
  • PM-C51BAEC7AN · 4.3% · long
  • PM-9AE1925C9N · 4.3% · long
  • PM-8114E27C0Y · 2.3% · long
  • PM-78012136AY · 2.1% · long
  • PM-EC59BDB33N · 1.9% · long
  • PM-AD59408DFY · 1.2% · long
  • PM-9C9E1FDCFN · 1.1% · long

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