Prediction-market trader

Liquid-Argument @liquidargument

Independent prediction-market trader. 4,983 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-12-07 (324 days), 1197 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days +31.5% · 6 months +30.5% · 1 year n/a · all +28.7%
  • Max drawdown -24.9% · Sharpe 0.86 · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-93BB318AAN · 3.0% · long
  • PM-16C63B7CCN · 2.5% · long
  • PM-C5EAE79D1Y · 2.0% · long
  • PM-7981FA84DY · 2.0% · long
  • PM-D5D9FC477N · 1.8% · long
  • PM-E70151207N · 1.7% · long
  • PM-AC6175A1DN · 1.6% · long
  • PM-9B1A03B41Y · 1.6% · long
  • PM-50EC8A76EN · 1.5% · long
  • PM-75EE75D8EY · 1.4% · long
  • PM-8A42BB4CBN · 1.4% · long
  • PM-CC24D19EBY · 1.3% · long

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