Prediction-market trader
Juvenile-Hypothesis @juvenilehypothesis
Independent prediction-market trader. 3,858 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2025-11-27 (326 days), 216 trades recorded
- Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days -0.4% · 6 months -11.5% · 1 year n/a · all +121.8%
- Max drawdown -35.0% · Sharpe 1.82 · data quality Good
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-F0AA26F04Y · 8.5% · long
- PM-78317A8E1Y · 8.0% · long
- PM-1AE135D15Y · 5.5% · long
- PM-4EEA504D6Y · 5.4% · long
- PM-5C5AB21C4Y · 4.7% · long
- PM-AC3D88AFAY · 4.6% · long
- PM-17902B949Y · 4.4% · long
- PM-CFE0BBE16Y · 4.3% · long
- PM-5AE264C7AY · 4.3% · long
- PM-31C7F076EY · 4.0% · long
- PM-E382429C9Y · 4.0% · long
- PM-83F44CFB8Y · 3.8% · long