Prediction-market trader

Joyful-Causeway @joyfulcauseway

Independent prediction-market trader. 8,816 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-04-04 (155 days), 39 trades recorded
  • Returns: week -6.8% · month +50.8% · 90 days +96.0% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +95.3%
  • Max drawdown -10.8% · Sharpe 2.36 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-A51810B62Y · 4.7% · long
  • PM-054725B2AY · 4.7% · long
  • PM-CE4C63006Y · 4.7% · long
  • PM-BFA186372Y · 4.7% · long
  • PM-F2CEA45ECY · 4.7% · long
  • PM-A68ADBB0FY · 4.7% · long
  • PM-C2D10029CY · 3.1% · long
  • PM-BAA911D1BY · 1.6% · long
  • PM-0CF91D395Y · 1.6% · long
  • PM-AD80F8A00Y · 1.6% · long
  • PM-FB40E5D62Y · 1.6% · long
  • PM-6BF93FC86Y · 1.6% · long

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