Prediction-market trader

Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis @insubstantialhurrybronch

Independent prediction-market trader. 782 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-04-14 (143 days), 79 trades recorded
  • Returns: week -6.5% · month +4.5% · 90 days -9.4% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +2.5%
  • Max drawdown -15.1% · Sharpe 0.01 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-79A0FD862N · 9.0% · long
  • PM-909E3566FY · 8.4% · long
  • PM-EFC507BABN · 6.0% · long
  • PM-4F75D2FB1Y · 5.5% · long
  • PM-BD30A99E5Y · 4.7% · long
  • PM-343925D2CN · 3.3% · long
  • PM-F41CDB3C4Y · 2.9% · long
  • PM-D1790A0BCN · 2.8% · long
  • PM-76D208E65N · 2.8% · long
  • PM-679D201D6N · 2.4% · long
  • PM-7742A04B3N · 2.0% · long
  • PM-CAD7E87D2N · 1.9% · long

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