Prediction-market trader

Improbable-Cormorant @improbablecormorant

Independent prediction-market trader. 664 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2024-11-28 (653 days), 76 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month +1.1% · 90 days -11.8% · 6 months +40.0% · 1 year +129.9% · all +144.2%
  • Max drawdown -21.7% · Sharpe 1.44 · win rate 0% · data quality High
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-D73DC4269Y · 60.0% · long
  • PM-7034C00A2Y · 8.4% · long
  • PM-3D5321854Y · 7.1% · long
  • PM-87091DC59Y · 5.8% · long
  • PM-26F410F75Y · 2.3% · long
  • PM-57753CD0EY · 1.7% · long
  • PM-1E76985CBY · 1.7% · long
  • PM-E8D59968FY · 1.7% · long
  • PM-EF91C850AY · 1.7% · long
  • PM-AA95B8CE7Y · 1.6% · long
  • PM-98DBB9987Y · 1.4% · long
  • PM-C89266786Y · 1.3% · long

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