Prediction-market trader

Honest-Similarity @honestsimilarity

Independent prediction-market trader. 29,027 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2024-11-28 (689 days), 206 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months +16.2% · 1 year +102.1% · all +29.8%
  • Max drawdown -44.5% · Sharpe 0.16 · win rate 3% · data quality High
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-694595D0AN · 15.0% · long
  • PM-0C9ADA12CY · 15.0% · long
  • PM-86BFB53AFY · 11.0% · long
  • PM-1A01BF78FY · 6.7% · long
  • PM-121310966N · 3.0% · long
  • PM-D5D9FC477N · 2.9% · long
  • PM-66BBF6D55N · 2.3% · long
  • PM-4E4F77E7DY · 2.2% · long
  • PM-21AD31A46Y · 2.1% · long
  • PM-19D2FF72EY · 1.9% · long
  • PM-97930F6CDY · 1.7% · long
  • PM-2C00CB097Y · 1.7% · long

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