Prediction-market trader

Hearty-Likelihood @heartylikelihood

Independent prediction-market trader. 1,162 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-05-26 (101 days), 37 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +32.1% · month +2.3% · 90 days -4.5% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all -0.4%
  • Max drawdown -40.2% · Sharpe -0.06 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-12DC2B617N · 30.0% · long
  • PM-15A87E412Y · 16.1% · long
  • PM-39B718F6EY · 12.8% · long
  • PM-901015752N · 8.2% · long
  • PM-71D1120E4N · 6.2% · long
  • PM-849BE83AAY · 4.4% · long
  • PM-8EFAED827Y · 4.2% · long
  • PM-83DF756AEN · 2.2% · long
  • PM-AAAFC98E7Y · 2.1% · long
  • PM-21EE027A6Y · 1.8% · long
  • PM-486C0E64FY · 1.4% · long
  • PM-8AC035F34Y · 1.1% · long

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