Prediction-market trader

Guilty-Spring @guiltyspring

Independent prediction-market trader. 2,925 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2024-11-28 (668 days), 318 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +0.7% · month +4.9% · 90 days +11.7% · 6 months +26.6% · 1 year +84.3% · all +20.8%
  • Max drawdown -50.5% · Sharpe 0.10 · data quality High
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-AA39C549FN · 3.9% · long
  • PM-77D9710DCY · 3.4% · long
  • PM-675318008N · 2.9% · long
  • PM-1B13520E6N · 2.7% · long
  • PM-BFEB6D4CFY · 2.4% · long
  • PM-1F1917756N · 2.0% · long
  • PM-7FAD7BA14Y · 2.0% · long
  • PM-BFAD21CB6N · 1.8% · long
  • PM-6C3F8936EN · 1.8% · long
  • PM-D31EA16F6N · 1.7% · long
  • PM-154B5E4CAN · 1.7% · long
  • PM-DDF5A3CCEN · 1.6% · long

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