Prediction-market trader

Granular-Dial @granulardial

Independent prediction-market trader. 36,544 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2026-01-31 (216 days), 44 trades recorded
• Returns: week +15.1% · month +53.2% · 90 days +165.2% · 6 months +46.9% · 1 year n/a · all +46.8%
• Max drawdown -45.0% · Sharpe 2.00 · win rate 1% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-F2822C9C1N · 59.3% · long
• PM-19C16E5AFY · 14.0% · long
• PM-F2822C9C1Y · 13.5% · long
• PM-19C16E5AFN · 13.2% · long

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