Prediction-market trader

Granular-Dial @granulardial

Independent prediction-market trader. 56,723 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-01-31 (261 days), 13520 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months +62.0% · 1 year n/a · all +59.6%
  • Max drawdown -40.3% · Sharpe 2.65 · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-0143F13FFY · 32.6% · long
  • PM-145DF2061N · 17.7% · long
  • PM-86A40192EY · 17.3% · long
  • PM-8B7051C48Y · 16.5% · long
  • PM-0143F13FFN · 7.4% · long
  • PM-8B7051C48N · 3.5% · long
  • PM-86A40192EN · 2.7% · long
  • PM-145DF2061Y · 2.3% · long
  • PM-006ED3B93Y · 0.0% · long · since 2026-10-19
  • PM-B7F0FBEEAY · 0.0% · long · since 2026-10-19
  • PM-63898FEE2Y · 0.0% · long · since 2026-10-19
  • PM-FB42EA052Y · 0.0% · long · since 2026-10-19

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