Prediction-market trader

Frayed-Hostel @frayedhostel

Independent prediction-market trader. 5,758 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-05-17 (154 days), 53 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +151.7%
  • Max drawdown -16.1% · Sharpe 10.25 · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-2579C53C3Y · 52.4% · long
  • PM-B013C7A4BY · 15.6% · long
  • PM-FDBA3E203Y · 4.9% · long
  • PM-255EB21FBY · 4.3% · long
  • PM-8D5571EB6Y · 3.4% · long
  • PM-6D3BE383CY · 3.3% · long
  • PM-4EA2769A8Y · 1.3% · long
  • PM-F8BE1790EY · 1.3% · long
  • PM-8DB56CC87Y · 1.1% · long
  • PM-D871144D1Y · 1.0% · long
  • PM-A19F9B3F3Y · 0.8% · long
  • PM-983CB37CCY · 0.8% · long

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