Prediction-market trader

Frayed-Hostel @frayedhostel

Independent prediction-market trader. 5,750 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2026-05-17 (112 days), 33 trades recorded
• Returns: week -11.9% · month +56.0% · 90 days +143.4% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +153.2%
• Max drawdown -12.4% · Sharpe 12.32 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-255EB21FBY · 22.3% · long
• PM-03C569F68Y · 7.1% · long
• PM-D871144D1Y · 6.8% · long
• PM-31877856AY · 5.2% · long
• PM-BF1DB7D5FY · 3.2% · long
• PM-538B928DCY · 2.6% · long
• PM-E37B8A102Y · 2.6% · long
• PM-7EF920A43Y · 2.3% · long
• PM-797B1EF9DY · 2.1% · long
• PM-D0C4EA125Y · 1.9% · long
• PM-F1E3DC013Y · 1.9% · long
• PM-A677013CEY · 1.6% · long

Copy on paper, free More traders How copying works

Past performance does not predict future results. Copy trading can lose money. Meror is software, not an adviser.