Prediction-market trader

Firm-Tailbud @firmtailbud

Independent prediction-market trader. 5,588 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-01-25 (266 days), 42 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all n/a
  • Max drawdown -5.0% · Sharpe 7.19 · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-7190ECCBDY · 18.5% · long
  • PM-370C14654Y · 16.2% · long
  • PM-98933C78BY · 10.7% · long
  • PM-F2CEA45ECY · 9.2% · long
  • PM-6BF93FC86Y · 4.6% · long
  • PM-3265B10DAY · 4.6% · long
  • PM-92546439BY · 4.6% · long
  • PM-C6421C3EEY · 4.6% · long
  • PM-17A0A4C8DY · 4.6% · long
  • PM-011108794Y · 4.6% · long
  • PM-B937D98FEY · 4.6% · long
  • PM-29283B56DY · 3.6% · long

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