Prediction-market trader

Fatal-Gnat @fatalgnat

Independent prediction-market trader. 16,475 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-03-23 (211 days), 1752 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days +8.3% · 6 months +89.8% · 1 year n/a · all +90.9%
  • Max drawdown -24.3% · Sharpe 3.00 · win rate 44% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-66382650BY · 16.0% · long
  • PM-F1726BDA5N · 15.1% · long
  • PM-2E00F972BY · 12.1% · long
  • PM-7CBCE6C39N · 11.3% · long
  • PM-2E00F972BN · 11.0% · long
  • PM-F1726BDA5Y · 5.9% · long
  • PM-D96BAB8DCY · 4.7% · long
  • PM-7CBCE6C39Y · 4.3% · long
  • PM-0D726926AY · 4.0% · long
  • PM-D4F20994DY · 4.0% · long
  • PM-3C0A7F82AY · 1.7% · long
  • PM-5165210FAY · 1.6% · long

Copy on paper, free More traders How copying works