Prediction-market trader

Expensive-Struggle @expensivestruggle

Independent prediction-market trader. 6,149 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2024-11-28 (645 days), 31 trades recorded
• Returns: week +0.4% · month -9.3% · 90 days +13.2% · 6 months +16.7% · 1 year +140.1% · all +108.7%
• Max drawdown -22.7% · Sharpe 1.34 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-52F135005N · 24.6% · long
• PM-E6BCC2F1DN · 8.2% · long
• PM-6001A4576N · 4.8% · long
• PM-248FB8D19N · 3.6% · long
• PM-CF25CCC83Y · 3.1% · long
• PM-21AD31A46Y · 3.1% · long
• PM-D1747284DN · 2.9% · long
• PM-11571C056N · 2.4% · long
• PM-73066A854N · 2.3% · long
• PM-31C59967CN · 2.1% · long
• PM-DF654C720Y · 2.1% · long
• PM-D871693EDN · 2.0% · long

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