Prediction-market trader

Early-Rehospitalization @earlyrehospitalization

Independent prediction-market trader. 728 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2025-07-06 (425 days), 40 trades recorded
• Returns: week -1.4% · month -1.3% · 90 days +1.0% · 6 months +13.1% · 1 year +127.8% · all +110.4%
• Max drawdown -18.0% · Sharpe 1.37 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-84261AD1BY · 41.2% · long
• PM-64B22B886Y · 21.5% · long
• PM-B106A3C9DY · 17.1% · long
• PM-EC8FB9B81Y · 12.6% · long
• PM-D4C611727Y · 6.7% · long
• PM-C554D7197Y · 1.0% · long

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