Prediction-market trader
Dual-Cephalopod @dualcephalopod
Independent prediction-market trader. 3,982 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2024-11-28 (691 days), 4798 trades recorded
- Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days +33.6% · 6 months +45.7% · 1 year +50.3% · all +71.3%
- Max drawdown -20.4% · Sharpe 0.93 · win rate 17% · data quality High
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-5C79DFDE0N · 17.0% · long
- PM-D64B917E1N · 5.1% · long
- PM-3FD189CACY · 4.1% · long
- PM-454005BA2N · 3.8% · long
- PM-5F5CF9263N · 3.3% · long
- PM-BFEB6D4CFN · 3.3% · long
- PM-3BABE91F8Y · 3.1% · long
- PM-C6030C1D1N · 3.1% · long
- PM-1A01BF78FY · 2.7% · long
- PM-0FCFCFC35Y · 2.7% · long
- PM-A34EDB6C8Y · 2.5% · long
- PM-612126703N · 2.4% · long