Prediction-market trader

Difficult-Design @difficultdesign

Independent prediction-market trader. 17,685 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-03-19 (216 days), 19930 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months +110.3% · 1 year n/a · all +112.9%
  • Max drawdown -24.2% · Sharpe 2.98 · win rate 2% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-D4E77BA6FY · 48.9% · long
  • PM-25FB28382Y · 36.6% · long
  • PM-967D15F64N · 11.8% · long
  • PM-B91BE1238Y · 2.7% · long
  • PM-E77E12266N · 0.0% · long · since 2026-10-21
  • PM-66E6C307FN · 0.0% · long · since 2026-10-21
  • PM-C9B725F21N · 0.0% · long · since 2026-10-21
  • PM-7E03CFF6EN · 0.0% · long · since 2026-10-21
  • PM-58C0A6CB8N · 0.0% · long · since 2026-10-21

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