Prediction-market trader

Crazy-Fishmonger @crazyfishmonger

Independent prediction-market trader. 12,625 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2024-12-25 (618 days), 130 trades recorded
• Returns: week +0.1% · month +7.5% · 90 days -11.3% · 6 months -5.6% · 1 year +5.3% · all +7.9%
• Max drawdown -24.1% · Sharpe -0.05 · win rate 7% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-A5D79E71EY · 4.0% · long
• PM-E11B15D95N · 3.6% · long
• PM-119B6B3B7N · 3.1% · long
• PM-9F50939C3N · 2.8% · long
• PM-B3529E4CBN · 2.8% · long
• PM-5EAD34274Y · 2.8% · long
• PM-6664DE877Y · 2.7% · long
• PM-5DACB3919N · 2.1% · long
• PM-90CA1A2F1N · 1.9% · long
• PM-476416AB9N · 1.8% · long
• PM-82F8F69B0N · 1.7% · long
• PM-94521176FY · 1.5% · long

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