Prediction-market trader

Complex-Wear @complexwear

Independent prediction-market trader. 745 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-11-02 (314 days), 69 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +2.7% · month +9.1% · 90 days +27.6% · 6 months +16.4% · 1 year n/a · all +61.9%
  • Max drawdown -26.7% · Sharpe 1.14 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-D4E77BA6FY · 17.3% · long
  • PM-424A35DE2Y · 16.4% · long
  • PM-9CF563D7BN · 14.5% · long
  • PM-AC02CBB04N · 11.1% · long
  • PM-C5EAE79D1N · 9.1% · long
  • PM-C60022FE0N · 6.2% · long
  • PM-35597E4E1Y · 5.0% · long
  • PM-7B147310AN · 3.8% · long
  • PM-A7442CD16N · 3.6% · long
  • PM-F17AD24EBN · 3.6% · long
  • PM-87091DC59N · 3.4% · long
  • PM-2582AADB9N · 2.4% · long

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