Prediction-market trader
Candid-Shearling @candidshearling
Independent prediction-market trader. 11,953 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2025-10-30 (355 days), 1273 trades recorded
- Returns: week n/a · month +3.9% · 90 days +0.2% · 6 months +28.3% · 1 year n/a · all +71.0%
- Max drawdown -16.1% · Sharpe 2.36 · win rate 100% · data quality Good
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-B77A3A315N · 15.5% · long
- PM-E8105B5E2N · 12.7% · long
- PM-A6B05F8E9N · 12.4% · long
- PM-6908F3328N · 8.7% · long
- PM-8EFC9F938N · 8.6% · long
- PM-B1399DBF0N · 8.5% · long
- PM-117565130Y · 7.2% · long
- PM-1D78389CAN · 4.8% · long
- PM-CEE04BA47N · 4.1% · long
- PM-04FB63413Y · 3.4% · long
- PM-A78098EBDN · 2.1% · long
- PM-28A5D49F3N · 2.1% · long