Prediction-market trader
Big-Hearted-Incident @bigheartedincident
Independent prediction-market trader. 104 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2026-01-24 (248 days), 18 trades recorded
- Returns: week +1.0% · month +4.9% · 90 days +4.1% · 6 months +5.7% · 1 year n/a · all +7.9%
- Max drawdown -4.1% · Sharpe 0.56 · data quality Good
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-D4E77BA6FY · 47.9% · long
- PM-48B0B0BCAN · 18.4% · long
- PM-B106A3C9DY · 11.6% · long
- PM-A467B14D5N · 6.7% · long
- PM-CBAC06E53N · 5.5% · long
- PM-4E4F77E7DN · 3.8% · long
- PM-0A9947922N · 3.8% · long
- PM-FD82F5043N · 0.9% · long
- PM-3A2990D35Y · 0.9% · long
- PM-8764D4ABAY · 0.5% · long