Prediction-market trader

balthazar @balthazar

Independent prediction-market trader. 86,555 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-02-08 (618 days), 12267 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days +26.7% · 6 months +90.0% · 1 year +93.5% · all +93.5%
  • Max drawdown -51.9% · Sharpe 0.59 · data quality High
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-1A01BF78FY · 38.3% · long
  • PM-25FB28382Y · 16.8% · long
  • PM-9B1A03B41Y · 12.9% · long
  • PM-15DDBA100Y · 10.9% · long
  • PM-84837E7C0Y · 10.4% · long
  • PM-0803A5823Y · 2.7% · long
  • PM-377E7FE65Y · 2.5% · long
  • PM-3A92ADD30Y · 2.4% · long
  • PM-A745EFF90Y · 1.9% · long
  • PM-7AB4429B2Y · 0.4% · long
  • PM-F17AD24EBY · 0.2% · long
  • PM-B9AEE520BY · 0.1% · long

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