Prediction-market trader

Alienated-Horst @alienatedhorst

Independent prediction-market trader. 344 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2026-01-01 (246 days), 79 trades recorded
• Returns: week +2.2% · month +1.9% · 90 days +11.2% · 6 months +15.0% · 1 year — · all +18.2%
• Max drawdown -3.2% · Sharpe 2.42 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-8A5C0B5FCN · 48.4% · long
• PM-2745C38FFN · 7.6% · long
• PM-988F13398N · 7.3% · long
• PM-63EAF41CEN · 4.7% · long
• PM-1E5564C1AN · 4.3% · long
• PM-CE3C54C3EN · 3.7% · long
• PM-903A1387EN · 3.3% · long
• PM-6A18969BCN · 3.2% · long
• PM-6BD56627AN · 2.6% · long
• PM-024B68F77N · 2.6% · long
• PM-DFD83FE76Y · 2.6% · long
• PM-4EA517756Y · 1.9% · long

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