Prediction-market trader

Adolescent-Estate @adolescentestate

Independent prediction-market trader. 549 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-06-23 (486 days), 677 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months n/a · 1 year +139.2% · all +154.6%
  • Max drawdown -13.6% · Sharpe 3.05 · data quality High
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-8126317D6N · 28.8% · long
  • PM-934225ABDY · 8.1% · long
  • PM-0B4CC3B73Y · 3.8% · long
  • PM-93D07FFCFY · 3.3% · long
  • PM-D86255155Y · 3.2% · long
  • PM-FD431E070Y · 2.3% · long
  • PM-F887472A2Y · 2.3% · long
  • PM-FCD53C97FY · 2.3% · long
  • PM-845A789F5Y · 1.9% · long
  • PM-ABA4BB720Y · 1.9% · long
  • PM-3A8209FBDY · 1.9% · long
  • PM-CAA2B510DY · 1.8% · long

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