Prediction-market trader

Active-Hypothermia @activehypothermia

Independent prediction-market trader. 6,346 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2024-12-03 (641 days), 150 trades recorded
• Returns: week +4.6% · month +17.3% · 90 days +39.0% · 6 months +99.9% · 1 year +127.1% · all +142.9%
• Max drawdown -34.1% · Sharpe 1.38 · win rate 0% · data quality High
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-4E4F77E7DN · 6.6% · long
• PM-86F097ADEN · 3.3% · long
• PM-998BC7181N · 3.2% · long
• PM-C9615BB82N · 2.8% · long
• PM-555474029N · 2.6% · long
• PM-1E8287101N · 2.2% · long
• PM-E4565B703Y · 2.2% · long
• PM-B2CE24BDDN · 2.1% · long
• PM-422B44717Y · 2.1% · long
• PM-3DB74F14FN · 2.1% · long
• PM-364C2FA0CN · 2.1% · long
• PM-B00FB98FBN · 2.0% · long

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