Prediction-market trader

Abandoned-Expectancy @abandonedexpectancy

Independent prediction-market trader. 936 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-10-27 (312 days), 40 trades recorded
  • Returns: week -9.9% · month -28.8% · 90 days +2.0% · 6 months +111.2% · 1 year n/a · all +120.3%
  • Max drawdown -30.8% · Sharpe 1.45 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-7AD403C35N · 39.4% · long
  • PM-747DC809FN · 20.0% · long
  • PM-7AD403C35Y · 12.6% · long
  • PM-CEDE29C8AY · 10.2% · long
  • PM-72A47CAD9N · 8.2% · long
  • PM-D4C611727N · 5.6% · long
  • PM-EC8FB9B81Y · 2.1% · long
  • PM-891324136Y · 0.7% · long
  • PM-A4DDC1889Y · 0.3% · long
  • PM-C554D7197Y · 0.3% · long
  • PM-4AA072D2BN · 0.3% · long
  • PM-B77571DA4Y · 0.1% · long

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