Prediction-market trader
Abandoned-Expectancy @abandonedexpectancy
Independent prediction-market trader. 959 lifetime trades settled on-chain.
Record
- Tracked since 2025-10-27 (357 days), 117 trades recorded
- Returns: week n/a · month -1.6% · 90 days +12.2% · 6 months +64.2% · 1 year n/a · all +120.4%
- Max drawdown -31.4% · Sharpe 1.30 · data quality Good
- Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)
Open positions
- PM-7AD403C35N · 49.8% · long
- PM-747DC809FN · 24.8% · long
- PM-7AD403C35Y · 12.5% · long
- PM-CEDE29C8AY · 11.8% · long
- PM-4AA072D2BN · 0.3% · long
- PM-27F7602AAY · 0.2% · long
- PM-516C2B0C2Y · 0.2% · long
- PM-A4DDC1889Y · 0.2% · long
- PM-4AA072D2BY · 0.1% · long
- PM-EB05A6AD9Y · 0.0% · long