Prediction-market trader

0xc412…592d @0xc412592d

Independent prediction-market trader. 3,834 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2024-11-28 (655 days), 33 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +0.6% · month -5.7% · 90 days -1.4% · 6 months +16.1% · 1 year +37.8% · all +83.3%
  • Max drawdown -10.8% · Sharpe 1.70 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-01BDACDB8N · 20.2% · long
  • PM-234AF66B9N · 9.8% · long
  • PM-2A1D039F7N · 9.4% · long
  • PM-A08A5CE99N · 6.9% · long
  • PM-BEBB5DDE5N · 4.5% · long
  • PM-4D291F1E9N · 3.7% · long
  • PM-0292F9586N · 3.7% · long
  • PM-9E50EDB22N · 2.4% · long
  • PM-2370F286CN · 2.2% · long
  • PM-02DF71403N · 2.1% · long
  • PM-059DB22DAY · 2.1% · long
  • PM-73D8A8208Y · 1.9% · long

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