Prediction-market trader

0xb4f2…e5fa @0xb4f2e5fa

Independent prediction-market trader. 560 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-10-11 (339 days), 26 trades recorded
  • Returns: week -2.6% · month +3.8% · 90 days +24.9% · 6 months +37.4% · 1 year n/a · all +58.3%
  • Max drawdown -24.5% · Sharpe 1.01 · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-1E5204036N · 18.7% · long
  • PM-48B0B0BCAN · 9.6% · long
  • PM-0F4D95F12N · 9.0% · long
  • PM-30174F3F4N · 8.2% · long
  • PM-46CA741DAN · 5.2% · long
  • PM-0FCFCFC35N · 5.1% · long
  • PM-EAD958C3CN · 4.7% · long
  • PM-45BBB5DE8N · 4.6% · long
  • PM-42B633E7AY · 4.3% · long
  • PM-5F3DABEB8N · 3.8% · long
  • PM-5746C57DDN · 3.4% · long
  • PM-C2EA0E9BBN · 3.3% · long

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