Prediction-market trader

0x4b3f…994f @0x4b3f994f

Independent prediction-market trader. 579 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-07-12 (441 days), 33 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days +80.4% · 6 months +119.2% · 1 year +76.8% · all +74.8%
  • Max drawdown -40.7% · Sharpe 0.73 · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-D5D9FC477Y · 68.8% · long
  • PM-D911D4537Y · 13.5% · long
  • PM-0F49DB97FY · 5.6% · long
  • PM-18B1C135DN · 3.0% · long
  • PM-82E123A23Y · 2.9% · long
  • PM-21AD31A46Y · 2.7% · long
  • PM-AA6A33793Y · 2.3% · long
  • PM-21BF9A7DAY · 0.6% · long
  • PM-E6BCC2F1DY · 0.6% · long
  • PM-0904E897BY · 0.0% · long · since 2026-09-26
  • PM-41D3CC14BY · 0.0% · long · since 2026-09-26
  • PM-39B718F6EY · 0.0% · long · since 2026-09-26

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