Prediction-market trader

0x2bfd…c4cd @0x2bfdc4cd

Independent prediction-market trader. 4,102 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-07-14 (97 days), 801 trades recorded
  • Returns: week n/a · month n/a · 90 days n/a · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +64.1%
  • Max drawdown -41.6% · Sharpe 2.24 · win rate 1% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-C68A26F71Y · 18.6% · long
  • PM-E42250ADFN · 10.5% · long
  • PM-7176CC5FEY · 9.4% · long
  • PM-7D8F8E9B1N · 9.1% · long
  • PM-BC1B1AC3DN · 8.3% · long
  • PM-FC68D8BD7N · 7.3% · long
  • PM-2756CF534Y · 7.1% · long
  • PM-DB7B2E5B1N · 6.9% · long
  • PM-C8D81E09CN · 4.6% · long
  • PM-D5541EFFDN · 4.4% · long
  • PM-4428BE000Y · 3.8% · long
  • PM-74C089D4FN · 3.4% · long

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