Prediction-market trader

0x151d…4497 @0x151d4497

Independent prediction-market trader. 203 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2025-12-04 (293 days), 40 trades recorded
  • Returns: week -1.8% · month +2.2% · 90 days +12.4% · 6 months -2.6% · 1 year n/a · all +44.8%
  • Max drawdown -25.4% · Sharpe 0.97 · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-46F2F457EY · 17.9% · long
  • PM-8126317D6Y · 17.7% · long
  • PM-74CC8E0F4N · 14.0% · long
  • PM-22F1B2D94N · 11.7% · long
  • PM-23969EC06N · 10.7% · long
  • PM-4167E2267N · 10.2% · long
  • PM-627ED310DN · 9.6% · long
  • PM-FB13EA7FBN · 6.0% · long
  • PM-9BDB3D58CN · 1.7% · long
  • PM-20FD4CF09Y · 0.5% · long

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