Prediction-market trader

Vivid-Chives @vividchives

Independent prediction-market trader. 367 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-04-28 (169 days), 110 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +25.4% · month +22.4% · 90 days +24.6% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all +102.9%
  • Max drawdown -34.9% · Sharpe 2.15 · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-56F89E81DY · 55.9% · long
  • PM-3B481B253Y · 11.7% · long
  • PM-1775678DBY · 7.7% · long
  • PM-541D796C0Y · 3.9% · long
  • PM-3224DBBEEY · 3.1% · long
  • PM-B4D3FE864Y · 2.9% · long
  • PM-82C33B0E4Y · 2.5% · long
  • PM-A4B31FB3EY · 2.0% · long
  • PM-18EF75501Y · 1.8% · long
  • PM-6729D4FDFY · 1.8% · long
  • PM-A27B96998Y · 1.8% · long
  • PM-A0B41B691Y · 1.8% · long

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