Prediction-market trader

Reasonable-Waffle @reasonablewaffle

Independent prediction-market trader. 218 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2025-11-05 (303 days), 68 trades recorded
• Returns: week -10.6% · month +0.9% · 90 days +22.4% · 6 months +89.3% · 1 year — · all +75.7%
• Max drawdown -40.0% · Sharpe 0.84 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-EAE133A71Y · 38.9% · long
• PM-D8E7DF41DY · 22.3% · long
• PM-02079AC3EY · 21.0% · long
• PM-D07FFAF65Y · 11.7% · long
• PM-7034C00A2Y · 2.0% · long
• PM-EC68CD265Y · 1.9% · long
• PM-024B68F77Y · 0.9% · long
• PM-D8E643881Y · 0.8% · long
• PM-28B76A84AY · 0.6% · long

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Past performance does not predict future results. Copy trading can lose money. Meror is software, not an adviser.