Prediction-market trader

Wary-Happening @waryhappening

Independent prediction-market trader. 1,773 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2025-10-11 (328 days), 194 trades recorded
• Returns: week -23.7% · month -53.9% · 90 days -57.0% · 6 months -60.9% · 1 year — · all -65.1%
• Max drawdown -65.6% · Sharpe -1.80 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-D44BFDCCCN · 64.9% · long
• PM-48917E4C5N · 21.1% · long
• PM-470E81FAFN · 8.7% · long
• PM-147000EACN · 3.6% · long
• PM-DE8BF8275N · 1.7% · long

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Past performance does not predict future results. Copy trading can lose money. Meror is software, not an adviser.