Prediction-market trader

Knowing-Arthur-Ash @knowingarthurash

Independent prediction-market trader. 35,969 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2026-05-17 (110 days), 32 trades recorded
• Returns: week -2.7% · month -87.9% · 90 days -90.2% · 6 months — · 1 year — · all -90.1%
• Max drawdown -94.3% · Sharpe -0.65 · win rate 9% · data quality Medium
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-AC02CBB04N · 56.4% · long
• PM-A3B36B2D6Y · 13.5% · long
• PM-876506D8BN · 2.1% · long
• PM-57B3F5DBEN · 2.0% · long
• PM-431B68CF8N · 2.0% · long
• PM-EDD32897DN · 2.0% · long
• PM-3A4D038A5N · 2.0% · long
• PM-C72F253EFN · 1.7% · long
• PM-E67F4D31FY · 1.6% · long
• PM-95F41E6F6N · 1.4% · long
• PM-4D8B2FE51N · 1.4% · long
• PM-CD430A56CN · 0.9% · long

Copy on paper, free More traders How copying works

Past performance does not predict future results. Copy trading can lose money. Meror is software, not an adviser.