Prediction-market trader

Realistic-Vegetarian @realisticvegetarian

Independent prediction-market trader. 1,138 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

  • Tracked since 2026-01-19 (228 days), 80 trades recorded
  • Returns: week +2.1% · month -17.7% · 90 days -14.0% · 6 months -15.4% · 1 year — · all -47.7%
  • Max drawdown -60.2% · Sharpe -0.74 · win rate 0% · data quality Good
  • Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

  • PM-5DA95A579Y · 11.7% · long
  • PM-FAE3871C0Y · 8.2% · long
  • PM-D07417E6AY · 7.3% · long
  • PM-FB2BF5DCAY · 7.2% · long
  • PM-C405AC9F9Y · 6.7% · long
  • PM-51E2166DCY · 5.0% · long
  • PM-74AD0CF40Y · 4.7% · long
  • PM-89B543A59Y · 3.9% · long
  • PM-F3A752C4EN · 3.6% · long
  • PM-4855D12D6N · 3.4% · long
  • PM-C2FD7A819Y · 3.0% · long
  • PM-19E0B1E11Y · 2.7% · long

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