Prediction-market trader

Rusty-Stay @rustystay

Independent prediction-market trader. 296 lifetime trades settled on-chain.

Record

• Tracked since 2026-03-11 (177 days), 42 trades recorded
• Returns: week -10.2% · month -10.2% · 90 days -10.2% · 6 months n/a · 1 year n/a · all -23.9%
• Max drawdown -25.4% · Sharpe -1.86 · win rate 22% · data quality Medium
• Source: Polymarket (on-chain) (Polymarket; typical delay 30 seconds)

Open positions

• PM-998BC7181Y · 20.3% · long
• PM-876506D8BY · 19.2% · long
• PM-2785AA6FEN · 4.4% · long
• PM-7A52AC764N · 4.2% · long
• PM-BB4873071Y · 3.6% · long
• PM-59C7F25F2N · 3.6% · long
• PM-78C34739EY · 2.6% · long
• PM-9E4B05111N · 2.5% · long
• PM-36292F4B2N · 2.5% · long
• PM-5ECA7A74BY · 2.3% · long
• PM-F6035567BY · 2.1% · long
• PM-B53F9C082Y · 2.1% · long

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